Webb29 jan. 2024 · Philip E. Tetlock on Twitter: "Good advice that bears a family resemblance to Bob Axelrod’s classic tit-for-tat recipe for winning in a prisoner’s dilemma tournament. Be nice (don’t initiate nastiness); be retaliatory (block initiators of nastiness); be forgiving (accept apologies); & communicate clearly." WebbThis book fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are …
Philip E. Tetlock on Twitter: "In 2009, Greg Mitchell & I foresaw this …
Webb8 maj 2007 · PAUL C. TETLOCK. Tetlock is at the McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin. I am indebted to Robert Stambaugh (the editor), ... Seema Jayachandran, David Laibson, Terry Murray, Alvin Roth, Laura Starks, Jeremy Stein, Philip Tetlock, Sheridan Titman, and Roberto Wessels for their comments. Webb31 maj 2024 · In Superforecasting, Tetlock emphasises that any organisation serious about improving its forecasts must attach concrete numbers to them, at least internally. A phrase like “serious possibility”... dickies slip resistant shoes for men
Philip E. Tetlock - Wikipedia
Webb1 juli 2024 · Appearance: Hardback, paperback, Kindle or audiobook – your choice. It’s a book, is it? Yes, by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner. The full title is Superforecasting: The Art and Science of ... WebbRT @UVALaw: Research conducted by Prof. Gregory Mitchell and @Wharton Prof. @PTetlock finds widespread pessimism among Americans. @wsj. 14 Apr 2024 11:08:34 Webb7 feb. 2024 · See the previously cited literature on forecasting by Barbara Mellers, Phil Tetlock, and others. There are two other relevant questions on Metaculus. The first one asks for the date when weakly General AI will be publicly known. And the second one is asking for the probability of ‘human/machine intelligence parity’ by 2040. citizen\u0027s charter philippines